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Market efficiency, anticipation and the formation of bubbles-crashes
renormalization group, sociophysics, opinion dynamic, finance
2011/8/31
A dynamical model is introduced for the formation of a bullish or bearish trends driving an asset price in a given market. Initially, each agent decides to buy or sell according to its personal opinio...
Anticipation in Social Systems: the Incursion and Communication of Meaning
social systems anticipation observer meaning logistic map
2010/4/7
In social systems, meaning can be communicated in addition to underlying processes of the information exchange. Meaning processing incurs on information processing with hindsight, while information pr...
Anticipation and the Non-linear Dynamics of Meaning-Processing in Social Systems
anticipation social system meaning incursion globalization
2010/4/7
Social order does not exist as a stable phenomenon, but can be considered as "an order of reproduced expectations." When anticipations operate upon one another, they can generate a non-linear dynamics...